Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.396496 0.433818 0.473673 0.519496 0.570845 0.626748 0.692395
2025-11-30 0.336392 0.388767 0.448575 0.522350 0.611482 0.716417 0.850384
2025-12-07 0.296353 0.354982 0.424970 0.515500 0.630706 0.774050 0.968489
2025-12-14 0.267452 0.329463 0.406121 0.509121 0.645851 0.823944 1.078206
2025-12-21 0.240440 0.302907 0.382332 0.492413 0.643735 0.848548 1.154006
2025-12-28 0.227758 0.293175 0.378645 0.500746 0.674480 0.918835 1.299806
2026-01-04 0.216231 0.283717 0.374056 0.506687 0.701441 0.985258 1.446573
2026-01-11 0.205296 0.274024 0.368058 0.509581 0.723479 1.045633 1.590195
2026-01-18 0.195321 0.264814 0.361816 0.511189 0.743109 1.103417 1.735707
2026-01-25 0.187309 0.257741 0.357942 0.515670 0.767025 1.169561 1.902651
2026-02-01 0.176091 0.245267 0.345235 0.505492 0.766499 1.195337 2.001469
2026-02-08 0.169518 0.239177 0.341537 0.508866 0.787875 1.259272 2.176908
2026-02-15 0.161417 0.230447 0.333447 0.504886 0.797073 1.303839 2.323608
2026-02-22 0.155526 0.224729 0.329626 0.507506 0.817656 1.370590 2.523217
2026-03-01 0.148042 0.216119 0.320697 0.500894 0.821321 1.406437 2.664638
2026-03-08 0.141261 0.208232 0.312429 0.494734 0.825101 1.442555 2.811349
2026-03-15 0.132917 0.197459 0.298907 0.478598 0.809257 1.439081 2.870753
2026-03-22 0.130043 0.195274 0.299266 0.486646 0.838940 1.528189 3.152041
2026-03-29 0.126897 0.192471 0.298402 0.492384 0.864598 1.611723 3.434041
2026-04-05 0.123402 0.188909 0.296036 0.495179 0.884656 1.685581 3.704918
2026-04-12 0.119901 0.185161 0.293131 0.496732 0.902278 1.755975 3.979156
2026-04-19 0.117079 0.182410 0.291781 0.501058 0.925812 1.841837 4.309526
2026-04-26 0.112089 0.175765 0.283285 0.491230 0.919159 1.858732 4.454899